Rally in the first half of 2010
Posted on December 21, 2009 by Shay Greenberg for Luckyroom.com
The impressive rally in which all the European stocks have been racing in during the last nine months is expected to continue during the first half of 2010. Subsequently, however, as analysts warn that investors should be prepared for changes. Based on the progress of pan European FTSEurofirst 300 and DJ STOXX 600 European stocks have managed a 60% jump from the low in March. Earnings from 57% to 64% exhibit the same period and the FTSE100 indices in London, CAC 40 [. FCHI] Paris and Chetra DAX in Frankfurt.
The rest, however, promises to be very difficult. If projections confirm an anemic pace of recovery, a further increase in unemployment and pressure (even lighter than this year) to profitability, the ratio is expected to lose almost all their profits in the first half, thus returning to levels found today. Investors bet this year in hopes of a recovery or at their best luck appearance of the first encouraging signs. Analysts comment, can not continue forever. As long as market conditions improve next year, investors will insist on risk. But the more we approach to withdraw completely exceptional support measures the central banks will send signals back to a more restrictive monetary policy, which change the situation.
The worst case scenario (which, however, has limited chances of confirmation) wants the pan-European index sliding to the 200 units, thus completing the 2010 losses. For the British FTSE100 index is forecast to have a very strong trend during the first months of next year, reaching the end of June 5700 to approximately 5,240 units currently. The earnings, however, should be reduced in the second half – but not completely outweighed.
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